Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.604029 3.833529 4.078699 4.361600 4.680962 5.032648 5.452496
2024-11-03 3.393274 3.717036 4.082006 4.529365 5.070853 5.716090 6.561069
2024-11-10 3.263780 3.667391 4.144579 4.763303 5.565358 6.603551 8.113994
2024-11-17 3.020846 3.456539 3.989792 4.711218 5.698694 7.069230 9.264291
2024-11-24 2.796937 3.247247 3.814138 4.608954 5.749903 7.438547 10.413929
2024-12-01 2.625345 3.088746 3.687501 4.555961 5.862466 7.929283 11.982127
2024-12-08 2.483273 2.956658 3.582973 4.520653 5.996763 8.495760 14.014366
2024-12-15 2.404213 2.901262 3.576896 4.626695 6.373204 9.600776 18.061777
2024-12-22 2.245895 2.727209 3.389811 4.437885 6.229915 9.696309 19.730286
2024-12-29 2.171105 2.663252 3.354973 4.482093 6.501823 10.742777 25.730433
2025-01-05 2.095299 2.592578 3.304114 4.494235 6.719902 11.779380 34.224545
2025-01-12 2.011116 2.504701 3.220616 4.442552 6.806852 12.553083 44.583613
2025-01-19 1.893835 2.372541 3.075486 4.297867 6.740283 13.083611 59.658834
2025-01-26 1.848836 2.343355 3.087690 4.432457 7.309597 16.019650 196.936115
2025-02-02 1.818259 2.333542 3.130178 4.632259 8.116677 21.098546 NaN
2025-02-09 1.739300 2.245305 3.037586 4.562761 8.249205 23.727371 NaN
2025-02-16 1.659902 2.152037 2.929853 4.450628 8.244606 25.850512 NaN
2025-02-23 1.595769 2.079091 2.851260 4.388587 8.371852 29.438416 NaN
2025-03-02 1.540078 2.016412 2.785702 4.345810 8.551804 34.471655 NaN
2025-03-09 1.509150 1.991107 2.782830 4.436513 9.199355 48.948062 NaN
2025-03-16 1.440759 1.902472 2.662364 4.254804 8.876197 49.014257 NaN
2025-03-23 1.408196 1.870112 2.640119 4.290783 9.344175 69.968787 NaN
2025-03-30 1.373932 1.833223 2.607029 4.297915 9.722833 104.106749 NaN